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Research

Disparities in diagnosis of advanced melanoma: a population-based cohort study

Meaghan E. Mavor, Harriet Richardson, Qun Miao, Yuka Asai and Timothy P. Hanna
October 31, 2018 6 (4) E502-E512; DOI: https://doi.org/10.9778/cmajo.20180089
Meaghan E. Mavor
Division of Cancer Care and Epidemiology (Mavor, Richardson, Miao, Hanna), Cancer Research Institute at Queen’s University; Department of Public Health Sciences (Mavor, Richardson), Queen’s University; Canadian Cancer Trials Group (Richardson), Cancer Research Institute at Queen’s University; Department of Oncology (Hanna) and Division of Dermatology (Asai), Department of Medicine, Queen’s University; Institute for Clinical Evaluative Sciences at Queen’s University (Hanna), Kingston, Ont.
BSc
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Harriet Richardson
Division of Cancer Care and Epidemiology (Mavor, Richardson, Miao, Hanna), Cancer Research Institute at Queen’s University; Department of Public Health Sciences (Mavor, Richardson), Queen’s University; Canadian Cancer Trials Group (Richardson), Cancer Research Institute at Queen’s University; Department of Oncology (Hanna) and Division of Dermatology (Asai), Department of Medicine, Queen’s University; Institute for Clinical Evaluative Sciences at Queen’s University (Hanna), Kingston, Ont.
PhD
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Qun Miao
Division of Cancer Care and Epidemiology (Mavor, Richardson, Miao, Hanna), Cancer Research Institute at Queen’s University; Department of Public Health Sciences (Mavor, Richardson), Queen’s University; Canadian Cancer Trials Group (Richardson), Cancer Research Institute at Queen’s University; Department of Oncology (Hanna) and Division of Dermatology (Asai), Department of Medicine, Queen’s University; Institute for Clinical Evaluative Sciences at Queen’s University (Hanna), Kingston, Ont.
PhD
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Yuka Asai
Division of Cancer Care and Epidemiology (Mavor, Richardson, Miao, Hanna), Cancer Research Institute at Queen’s University; Department of Public Health Sciences (Mavor, Richardson), Queen’s University; Canadian Cancer Trials Group (Richardson), Cancer Research Institute at Queen’s University; Department of Oncology (Hanna) and Division of Dermatology (Asai), Department of Medicine, Queen’s University; Institute for Clinical Evaluative Sciences at Queen’s University (Hanna), Kingston, Ont.
MD PhD
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Timothy P. Hanna
Division of Cancer Care and Epidemiology (Mavor, Richardson, Miao, Hanna), Cancer Research Institute at Queen’s University; Department of Public Health Sciences (Mavor, Richardson), Queen’s University; Canadian Cancer Trials Group (Richardson), Cancer Research Institute at Queen’s University; Department of Oncology (Hanna) and Division of Dermatology (Asai), Department of Medicine, Queen’s University; Institute for Clinical Evaluative Sciences at Queen’s University (Hanna), Kingston, Ont.
MD PhD
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Figures

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    Figure 1:

    Flow diagram for selection of thickness-based study cohort. Note: CCO = Cancer Care Ontario, OCR = Ontario Cancer Registry.

  • Figure 2:
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    Figure 2:

    Overall survival stratified by presence of advanced melanoma (> 2.0 mm thick). Five-year survival is 90% for patients with non-advanced melanoma and 56% for patients with advanced melanoma.

Tables

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    Table 1:

    Characteristics of the overall cohort with thickness information, and stratified by ulceration status

    CharacteristicOverall
    n = 8042
    Ulceration absent
    n = 6581
    Ulceration present
    n = 1461
    Patient factors
    Sex, %
     Male53.351.163.1
     Female46.748.936.9
    Median age, yr (mean)62 (61.52)61 (60.28)69 (67.09)
    Age group, %
     20–45 yr17.218.710.2
     46–55 yr18.519.513.6
     56–65 yr21.422.018.6
     66–75 yr20.119.721.9
     76–85 yr17.515.924.9
     >85 yr5.44.210.8
    Material deprivation, %
     Least deprived27.127.824.0
     Quintile 223.823.624.9
     Quintile 319.519.220.8
     Quintile 414.213.816.0
     Most deprived9.08.411.8
     Data missing6.37.22.5
    Health-system factors
    LHIN, %
     LHIN A8.38.67.0
     LHIN B7.78.15.8
     LHIN C9.39.58.7
     LHIN D4.94.76.1
     LHIN E10.611.08.9
     LHIN F6.66.76.3
     LHIN G5.85.86.0
     LHIN H12.212.112.6
     LHIN I6.56.37.4
     LHIN J1.3**
     LHIN K3.33.33.4
     LHIN L13.312.616.2
     LHIN M5.75.65.8
     LHIN N4.4**
    Median rurality† (mean)5.0 (13.49)5.0 (13.48)5.0 (13.52)
     Rural (≥40), %10.210.010.6
     Non-major urban (9.01–39), %26.226.326.2
     Major urban (0–9), %57.456.660.9
     Data missing, %6.37.12.4
    Disease factors
    Median Breslow thickness (mean), mm0.87 (2.02)0.70 (1.28)3.86 (5.34)
     T1 (≤1.0), %55.766.86.0
     T2 (> 1, ≤ 2.0), %18.619.116.0
     T3 (> 2.0, ≤ 4.0), %13.19.031.3
     T4 (>4.0), %12.75.146.8
    Histological subtype, %
     Superficial spreading41.145.023.7
     Lentigo maligna8.19.32.7
     Acral lentiginous1.61.13.9
     Nodular13.27.339.8
     NOS31.833.723.4
     Other4.13.66.4
    Body site, %
     Extremities46.246.545.0
     Face12.412.611.7
     Head and neck5.75.37.7
     Trunk32.232.531.1
     Unspecified3.53.24.5
    Presence of ulceration, %
     Present18.2––
     Absent81.8––
    Lymph node involvement, %
     Present10.05.828.8
     Absent90.094.271.2
    Distant metastases, %
     Present1.20.83.2
     Absent98.899.296.9
    • Note: LHIN = local health integration network; NOS = not otherwise specified.

    • ↵* Censored because of small cell counts.

    • ↵† Rurality was measured using the Rurality Index of Ontario.

    • View popup
    Table 2:

    Presence of advanced melanoma (> 2.0 mm thickness) according to study factors, for the overall cohort and stratified by ulceration status

    CharacteristicPresence of advanced melanoma (> 2.0 mm thickness)*p value†
    Overall (n = 8042)Ulceration absent (n = 6581)Ulceration present (n = 1461)
    No. of patients with advanced melanoma (%)2069 (25.7)929 (14.1)1140 (78.0)
    Patient factors
    Sex, %Overall: p < 0.001
     Male29.615.879.7Abs v. pres: p < 0.001
     Female21.412.375.1
    AgeOverall: p < 0.001
     Median age, yr (mean)‡69 (67.16)67 (65.9)71 (68.2)Abs v. pres: p < 0.001
     Age group. %
      20–45 yr15.08.271.1
      46–55 yr19.411.073.9
      56–65 yr22.413.172.3
      66–75 yr27.014.975.9
      76–85 yr37.120.983.5
      >85 yr53.231.591.1
    Material deprivation, %Overall: p < 0.001
     Least deprived22.912.875.2Abs v. pres: p < 0.001
     Quintile 225.312.978.5
     Quintile 328.316.278.3
     Quintile 430.017.877.4
     Most deprived35.119.883.8
     Data missing8.83.875.0
    Health-system factors
    LHIN, %Overall: p < 0.001
     LHIN A21.311.377.5Abs v. pres: p < 0.001
     LHIN B22.713.580.0
     LHIN C23.413.572.4
     LHIN D23.99.175.3
     LHIN E24.314.280.8
     LHIN F24.713.877.2
     LHIN G25.415.270.1
     LHIN H25.512.880.4
     LHIN I26.813.676.9
     LHIN J26.9§§
     LHIN K27.115.776.0
     LHIN L29.215.178.5
     LHIN M31.219.483.3
     LHIN N31.7§§
    RuralityOverall: p < 0.001
     Median rurality (mean)‡5.0 (13.4)5.0 (13.3)5.0 (13.5)Abs v. pres: p < 0.001
      Rural (≥40), %27.816.078.1
      Non-major urban (9.01–39), %25.714.576.7
      Major urban (0–9), %27.214.978.6
      Data missing, %9.24.177.1
    Disease factors
    Histological subtype, %Overall: p < 0.001
     Superficial spreading13.68.061.9Abs v. pres: p < 0.001
     Lentigo maligna9.36.552.5
     Acral lentiginous51.223.087.7
     Nodular77.963.090.2
     NOS18.910.672.8
     Other54.742.386.2
    Body site, %Overall: p < 0.001
     Extremities24.613.277.7Abs v. pres: p < 0.001
     Face25.515.474.3
     Head and neck38.924.084.8
     Trunk24.212.880.3
     Unspecified33.819.378.0
    Presence of ulceration, %Overall: p < 0.001
     Present78.0–––
     Absent14.1–––
    Lymph node involvement, %Overall: p < 0.001
     Present73.454.590.5Abs v. pres: p < 0.001
     Absent20.411.673.0
    Distant metastases, %Overall: p < 0.001
     Present61.538.087.0Abs v. pres: p < 0.001
     Absent25.313.977.7
    • Note: Abs = absent, LHIN = local health integration network; pres = present.

    • ↵* Percentages are calculated as 100% minus the percentage of patients with the same characteristic who had non-advanced melanoma.

    • ↵† p values based on χ2 test.

    • ↵‡ Values shown for median and mean are for the subset with advanced melanoma.

    • ↵§ Censored because of small cell counts.

    • View popup
    Table 3:

    Relative risk of advanced melanoma from modified Poisson regression, including results stratified by ulceration status

    VariableUnstratified unadjusted modelUnstratified adjusted model*Stratified adjusted model
    Ulceration absent†Ulceration present†
    RR (95% CI)
    n = 8042
    RR: No interactions (95% CI)
    n = 8042
    RR (95% CI)
    n = 6581
    RR (95% CI)
    n = 1461
    Patient factors
    Sex
     Male1.38 (1.28–1.49)1.12 (1.05–1.20)1.14 (1.01–1.27)1.08 (1.02–1.14)
     Female1.00 (ref)1.00 (ref)1.00 (ref)1.00 (ref)
    Age‡
     20–45 yr0.67 (0.57–0.78)0.83 (0.73–0.94)0.75 (0.61–0.93)1.01 (0.90–1.14)
     46–55 yr0.87 (0.76–0.99)0.97 (0.87–1.09)0.92 (0.77–1.12)1.04 (0.94–1.16)
     56–65 yr1.00 (ref)1.00 (ref)1.00 (ref)1.00 (ref)
     66–75 yr1.20 (1.07–1.36)1.13 (1.03–1.25)1.13 (0.95–1.34)1.08 (0.98–1.18)
     76–85 yr1.66 (1.48–1.85)1.27 (1.16–1.40)1.40 (1.19–1.64)1.15 (1.05–1.25)
     >85 yr2.38 (2.10–2.69)1.53 (1.37–1.72)2.04 (1.68–2.49)1.26 (1.16–1.37)
    Deprivation‡
     Least deprived1.00 (ref)1.00 (ref)1.00 (ref)1.00 (ref)
     Quintile 21.11 (0.99–1.23)1.05 (0.96–1.15)0.99 (0.85–1.16)1.05 (0.97–1.13)
     Quintile 31.24 (1.11–1.38)1.12 (1.02–1.23)1.24 (1.05–1.46)1.03 (0.95–1.12)
     Quintile 41.31 (1.17–1.48)1.14 (1.03–1.26)1.19 (1.00–1.41)1.01 (0.91–1.10)
     Most deprived1.53 (1.35–1.74)1.24 (1.12–1.38)1.31 (1.08–1.58)1.10 (1.01–1.20)
     Missing0.39 (0.29–0.52)0.56 (0.44–0.71)0.40 (0.26–0.63)1.01 (0.83–1.22)
    Health-system factors
    LHIN
     LHIN A0.73 (0.62–0.87)1.04 (0.90–1.19)0.88 (0.69–1.14)1.06 (0.94–1.19)
     LHIN B0.78 (0.65–0.92)1.08 (0.94–1.25)1.04 (0.82–1.33)1.06 (0.94–1.19)
     LHIN C0.80 (0.68–0.94)1.09 (0.95–1.24)0.99 (0.79–1.25)0.99 (0.88–1.12)
     LHIN D0.82 (0.67–1.00)1.00 (0.86–1.18)0.76 (0.53–1.09)1.06 (0.93–1.21)
     LHIN E0.83 (0.72–0.97)1.10 (0.97–1.24)0.99 (0.79–1.24)1.08 (0.98–1.20)
     LHIN F0.85 (0.71–1.01)1.09 (0.94–1.26)0.98 (0.76–1.27)1.06 (0.94–1.20)
     LHIN G0.87 (0.73–1.04)0.92 (0.79–1.07)0.83 (0.65–1.06)0.90 (0.78–1.03)
     LHIN H0.87 (0.76–1.01)1.05 (0.93–1.18)0.95 (0.76–1.18)1.06 (0.96–1.17)
     LHIN I0.92 (0.77–1.09)1.04 (0.91–1.19)0.97 (0.75–1.27)1.04 (0.93–1.16)
     LHIN J0.92 (0.66–1.28)1.20 (0.91–1.58)1.15 (0.70–1.90)1.07 (0.86–1.33)
     LHIN K0.93 (0.75–1.15)1.15 (0.96–1.38)1.02 (0.77–1.36)1.04 (0.88–1.23)
     LHIN L1.00 (ref)1.00 (ref)1.00 (ref)1.00 (ref)
     LHIN M1.07 (0.91–1.26)1.34 (1.16–1.54)1.33 (1.04–1.70)1.15 (1.03–1.29)
     LHIN N1.09 (0.91–1.30)1.27 (1.09–1.47)1.25 (0.95–1.64)1.13 (1.01–1.26)
    Rurality§
     Major urban1.00 (ref)–––
     Non-major urban0.95 (0.87–1.03)–––
     Rural1.02 (0.91–1.16)–––
     Missing data0.34 (0.25–0.45)–––
    Disease factors
    Histology‡
     Superficial1.00 (ref)1.00 (ref)1.00 (ref)1.00 (ref)
     Acral3.76 (3.11–4.53)2.15 (1.83–2.52)2.52 (1.62–3.92)1.40 (1.23–1.59)
     Lentigo maligna0.69 (0.53–0.88)0.67 (0.52–0.85)0.63 (0.45–0.87)0.86 (0.63–1.18)
     Nodular5.72 (5.22–6.27)2.84 (2.57–3.15)6.60 (5.71–7.64)1.45 (1.33–1.59)
     NOS1.39 (1.23–1.56)1.29 (1.16–1.44)1.33 (1.12–1.58)1.16 (1.04–1.29)
     Other4.01 (3.52–4.57)2.79 (2.45–3.18)4.82 (3.97–5.87)1.36 (1.21–1.52)
    Body site‡
     Extremities1.00 (ref)1.00 (ref)1.00 (ref)1.00 (ref)
     Head and neck1.58 (1.39–1.79)1.17 (1.05–1.30)1.36 (1.13–1.63)1.05 (0.96–1.14)
     Face1.03 (0.92–1.17)0.97 (0.87–1.08)1.05 (0.88–1.26)0.92 (0.83–1.01)
     Trunk0.98 (0.90–1.07)0.97 (0.90–1.05)0.96 (0.84–1.10)1.00 (0.93–1.06)
     Unspecified1.37 (1.15–1.63)1.22 (1.05–1.42)1.29 (1.01–1.66)1.08 (0.95–1.23)
    Ulceration
     Present5.53 (5.18–5.90)3.22 (2.97–3.49)––
     Absent1.00 (ref)1.00 (ref)––
    • Note: CI = confidence interval, LHIN = local health integration network, NOS = not otherwise specified, ref = reference, RR = relative risk.

    • ↵* Controlled for sex, age, deprivation, LHIN, histology, site and ulceration.

    • ↵† Controlled for sex, age, deprivation, LHIN, histology and site.

    • ↵‡ Variable that had a significant interaction with ulceration.

    • ↵§ Rurality was not included in the adjusted model.

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Disparities in diagnosis of advanced melanoma: a population-based cohort study
Meaghan E. Mavor, Harriet Richardson, Qun Miao, Yuka Asai, Timothy P. Hanna
Oct 2018, 6 (4) E502-E512; DOI: 10.9778/cmajo.20180089

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Disparities in diagnosis of advanced melanoma: a population-based cohort study
Meaghan E. Mavor, Harriet Richardson, Qun Miao, Yuka Asai, Timothy P. Hanna
Oct 2018, 6 (4) E502-E512; DOI: 10.9778/cmajo.20180089
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