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Research

A methodologic framework to evaluate the number of cancers attributable to lifestyle and environment in Alberta

Anne Grundy, Christine M. Friedenreich, Abbey E. Poirier, Farah Khandwala and Darren R. Brenner
September 15, 2016 4 (3) E471-E478; DOI: https://doi.org/10.9778/cmajo.20150068
Anne Grundy
Department of Cancer Epidemiology and Prevention Research (Grundy, Friedenreich, Poirier, Khandwala, Brenner) Alberta Health Services-Cancer Control; Department of Oncology and Department of Community Health Sciences, Cumming School of Medicine (Friedenreich, Brenner), University of Calgary, Calgary, Alta.
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Christine M. Friedenreich
Department of Cancer Epidemiology and Prevention Research (Grundy, Friedenreich, Poirier, Khandwala, Brenner) Alberta Health Services-Cancer Control; Department of Oncology and Department of Community Health Sciences, Cumming School of Medicine (Friedenreich, Brenner), University of Calgary, Calgary, Alta.
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Abbey E. Poirier
Department of Cancer Epidemiology and Prevention Research (Grundy, Friedenreich, Poirier, Khandwala, Brenner) Alberta Health Services-Cancer Control; Department of Oncology and Department of Community Health Sciences, Cumming School of Medicine (Friedenreich, Brenner), University of Calgary, Calgary, Alta.
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Farah Khandwala
Department of Cancer Epidemiology and Prevention Research (Grundy, Friedenreich, Poirier, Khandwala, Brenner) Alberta Health Services-Cancer Control; Department of Oncology and Department of Community Health Sciences, Cumming School of Medicine (Friedenreich, Brenner), University of Calgary, Calgary, Alta.
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Darren R. Brenner
Department of Cancer Epidemiology and Prevention Research (Grundy, Friedenreich, Poirier, Khandwala, Brenner) Alberta Health Services-Cancer Control; Department of Oncology and Department of Community Health Sciences, Cumming School of Medicine (Friedenreich, Brenner), University of Calgary, Calgary, Alta.
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    Figure 1

    Hierarchy for selection of risk estimates used in this project. *Quality determined with the use of the STrengthening the Reporting of OBservational studies in Epidemiology (STROBE) guidelines for cohort and case-control studies and Meta-analysis Of Observational Studies in Epidemiology (MOOSE) guidelines for meta-analysis.

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    Figure 2

    Hierarchy for selection of exposure prevalence estimates. AHS = Alberta Health Services, CAREX = CARcinogen EXposure, a multi-institution research project dedicated to generating evidence-based carcinogen surveillance in Canada (www.carexcanada.ca). The Tomorrow Project is a large prospective cohort study being conducted in Alberta to study health outcomes including cancer. (11) The project, which began in 2000, is recruiting adults aged 35-69 who will be followed for up to 50 years.

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    Figure 3

    Proposed model of carcinogenesis related to the adverse exposure of interest. The measured latency period is referred to as the latency period for the purposes of estimating population attributable cancer risks in Alberta.

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    Table 1: Exposure and cancer site associations of interest to be included in this project
    Paper no.ExposureCancer types consistently associated with exposure
    1Active tobaccoLung
    Oral cavity and pharynx
    Esophagus
    Stomach
    Liver
    Pancreas
    Colorectum
    Larynx
    Cervix
    Ovary (mucinous)
    Urinary bladder
    Kidney
    Acute myeloid leukemia
    Passive tobaccoLung
    Oral cavity and pharynx
    Esophagus
    Larynx
    2High alcohol intakeMouth
    Pharynx
    Larynx
    Liver
    Colorectum
    Breast (pre- and postmenopausal)
    3Overweight/obesity (body mass index > 25 kg/m2)Breast (postmenopausal)
    Colorectum
    Esophagus (adenocarcinoma)
    Kidney
    Endometrium
    Gall bladder
    Pancreas
    4Physical inactivityBreast (postmenopausal)
    Colorectum
    Endometrium
    Lung
    Ovary
    Prostate
    5Low vegetable intake (nonstarchy)Oral cavity and pharynx
    Esophagus
    Stomach
    Larynx
    Low fruit intakeOral cavity and pharynx
    Esophagus
    Stomach
    Larynx
    Lung
    6High red meat intakeColorectum
    High processed meat intakeColorectum
    7Low fibre intakeColorectum
    8Low vitamin DColorectum
    Breast
    High salt intakeStomach
    Low dietary calcium intakeColorectum
    9Hormone therapies
        Oral contraceptive useBreast
    Endometrium
    Ovary
        Hormone replacement therapyBreast
    Endometrium
    Ovary
    10Infectious agents
        Human papillomavirusCervix
    Vagina
    Penis
    Anus
    Vulva
    Oropharynx
        Helicobacter pyloriStomach
        Epstein-Barr virusNon-Hodgkin's lymphoma
    Hodgkin's lymphoma
    Burkitt's lymphoma
    Nasopharyngeal carcinoma
        Hepatitis B virusLiver
        Hepatitis C virusLiver
    11Ultraviolet radiationMelanoma
    12RadonLung
    13Air pollution (fine particulate matter [PM2.5])Lung
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    Table 2: Methods for the estimation of population attributable risk used for the individual exposures of interest in this series
    EquationExposure
    Equation 1: PAR = (Pe (RR - 1))/(1 + [Pe (RR - 1)])Tobacco (passive)
    Ultraviolet radiation
    Disinfection by-products
    Low vitamin D
    High salt intake
    Low dietary calcium intake
    Equation 2: PAR = Pc ((RR - 1))/RRHelicobacter pylori
    Epstein-Barr virus
    Hepatitis B virus
    Hepatitis C virus
    Equation 3: PAR = PcHuman papillomavirus for all cancer sites except cervix
    Equation 4: PAR = ((Pe1 × ERR1) + (Pe2 × ERR2) + … + (Pex × ERRx))/(1 + ((Pe1 × ERR1) + (Pe2 × ERR2) + … + (Pex × ERRx)) )Tobacco (active)
    Oral contraceptives
    Hormone replacement therapy
    Overweight/obesity
    Low fruit and vegetable intake
    Red/processed meat intake
    High alcohol intake
    Low dietary fibre intake
    Physical activity/inactivity
    Individualized methodsAir pollution
    Radon
    Insufficient fruit and vegetable intake
    Red/processed meat intake
    Insufficient fibre intake
    Alcohol consumption
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CMAJ Open: 4 (3)
Vol. 4, Issue 3
4 Aug 2016
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A methodologic framework to evaluate the number of cancers attributable to lifestyle and environment in Alberta
Anne Grundy, Christine M. Friedenreich, Abbey E. Poirier, Farah Khandwala, Darren R. Brenner
Sep 2016, 4 (3) E471-E478; DOI: 10.9778/cmajo.20150068

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A methodologic framework to evaluate the number of cancers attributable to lifestyle and environment in Alberta
Anne Grundy, Christine M. Friedenreich, Abbey E. Poirier, Farah Khandwala, Darren R. Brenner
Sep 2016, 4 (3) E471-E478; DOI: 10.9778/cmajo.20150068
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