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Research
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Trends in infection-related and infection-unrelated cancer incidence among people with and without HIV infection in Ontario, Canada, 1996–2020: a population-based matched cohort study using health administrative data

Ioana A. Nicolau, Rahim Moineddin, Tony Antoniou, Jennifer D. Brooks, Jennifer L. Gillis, Claire E. Kendall, Curtis Cooper, Michelle Cotterchio, Kate Salters, Marek Smieja, Abigail E. Kroch, Joanne D. Lindsay, Colleen Price, Anthony Mohamed and Ann N. Burchell
October 10, 2023 11 (5) E894-E905; DOI: https://doi.org/10.9778/cmajo.20220230
Ioana A. Nicolau
Dalla Lana School of Public Health (Nicolau, Brooks, Cotterchio, Kroch), University of Toronto; Li Ka Shing Knowledge Institute (Nicolau, Antoniou, Lindsay, Mohamed, Burchell), St. Michael’s Hospital, Unity Health Toronto; Department of Family and Community Medicine (Moineddin, Antoniou, Burchell), University of Toronto; ICES Central (Moineddin, Antoniou, Burchell); Canadian Cancer Society (Gillis), Toronto, Ont.; Bruyère Research Institute (Kendall); Department of Family Medicine (Kendall), University of Ottawa; Institut du Savoir Montfort (Kendall); Clinical Epidemiology Program (Kendall), Ottawa Hospital Research Institute; ICES uOttawa (Kendall); Ottawa Hospital Research Institute (Cooper), Ottawa, Ont.; Ontario Health (Cancer Care Ontario) (Cotterchio), Toronto, Ont.; British Columbia Centre for Excellence in HIV/AIDS (Salters), Vancouver, BC; Department of Pathology and Molecular Medicine (Smieja), McMaster University, Hamilton, Ont.; Ontario HIV Treatment Network (Kroch), Toronto, Ont.; Canadian HIV/AIDS and Chronic Pain Society (Price), Ottawa, Ont.
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Rahim Moineddin
Dalla Lana School of Public Health (Nicolau, Brooks, Cotterchio, Kroch), University of Toronto; Li Ka Shing Knowledge Institute (Nicolau, Antoniou, Lindsay, Mohamed, Burchell), St. Michael’s Hospital, Unity Health Toronto; Department of Family and Community Medicine (Moineddin, Antoniou, Burchell), University of Toronto; ICES Central (Moineddin, Antoniou, Burchell); Canadian Cancer Society (Gillis), Toronto, Ont.; Bruyère Research Institute (Kendall); Department of Family Medicine (Kendall), University of Ottawa; Institut du Savoir Montfort (Kendall); Clinical Epidemiology Program (Kendall), Ottawa Hospital Research Institute; ICES uOttawa (Kendall); Ottawa Hospital Research Institute (Cooper), Ottawa, Ont.; Ontario Health (Cancer Care Ontario) (Cotterchio), Toronto, Ont.; British Columbia Centre for Excellence in HIV/AIDS (Salters), Vancouver, BC; Department of Pathology and Molecular Medicine (Smieja), McMaster University, Hamilton, Ont.; Ontario HIV Treatment Network (Kroch), Toronto, Ont.; Canadian HIV/AIDS and Chronic Pain Society (Price), Ottawa, Ont.
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Tony Antoniou
Dalla Lana School of Public Health (Nicolau, Brooks, Cotterchio, Kroch), University of Toronto; Li Ka Shing Knowledge Institute (Nicolau, Antoniou, Lindsay, Mohamed, Burchell), St. Michael’s Hospital, Unity Health Toronto; Department of Family and Community Medicine (Moineddin, Antoniou, Burchell), University of Toronto; ICES Central (Moineddin, Antoniou, Burchell); Canadian Cancer Society (Gillis), Toronto, Ont.; Bruyère Research Institute (Kendall); Department of Family Medicine (Kendall), University of Ottawa; Institut du Savoir Montfort (Kendall); Clinical Epidemiology Program (Kendall), Ottawa Hospital Research Institute; ICES uOttawa (Kendall); Ottawa Hospital Research Institute (Cooper), Ottawa, Ont.; Ontario Health (Cancer Care Ontario) (Cotterchio), Toronto, Ont.; British Columbia Centre for Excellence in HIV/AIDS (Salters), Vancouver, BC; Department of Pathology and Molecular Medicine (Smieja), McMaster University, Hamilton, Ont.; Ontario HIV Treatment Network (Kroch), Toronto, Ont.; Canadian HIV/AIDS and Chronic Pain Society (Price), Ottawa, Ont.
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Jennifer D. Brooks
Dalla Lana School of Public Health (Nicolau, Brooks, Cotterchio, Kroch), University of Toronto; Li Ka Shing Knowledge Institute (Nicolau, Antoniou, Lindsay, Mohamed, Burchell), St. Michael’s Hospital, Unity Health Toronto; Department of Family and Community Medicine (Moineddin, Antoniou, Burchell), University of Toronto; ICES Central (Moineddin, Antoniou, Burchell); Canadian Cancer Society (Gillis), Toronto, Ont.; Bruyère Research Institute (Kendall); Department of Family Medicine (Kendall), University of Ottawa; Institut du Savoir Montfort (Kendall); Clinical Epidemiology Program (Kendall), Ottawa Hospital Research Institute; ICES uOttawa (Kendall); Ottawa Hospital Research Institute (Cooper), Ottawa, Ont.; Ontario Health (Cancer Care Ontario) (Cotterchio), Toronto, Ont.; British Columbia Centre for Excellence in HIV/AIDS (Salters), Vancouver, BC; Department of Pathology and Molecular Medicine (Smieja), McMaster University, Hamilton, Ont.; Ontario HIV Treatment Network (Kroch), Toronto, Ont.; Canadian HIV/AIDS and Chronic Pain Society (Price), Ottawa, Ont.
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Jennifer L. Gillis
Dalla Lana School of Public Health (Nicolau, Brooks, Cotterchio, Kroch), University of Toronto; Li Ka Shing Knowledge Institute (Nicolau, Antoniou, Lindsay, Mohamed, Burchell), St. Michael’s Hospital, Unity Health Toronto; Department of Family and Community Medicine (Moineddin, Antoniou, Burchell), University of Toronto; ICES Central (Moineddin, Antoniou, Burchell); Canadian Cancer Society (Gillis), Toronto, Ont.; Bruyère Research Institute (Kendall); Department of Family Medicine (Kendall), University of Ottawa; Institut du Savoir Montfort (Kendall); Clinical Epidemiology Program (Kendall), Ottawa Hospital Research Institute; ICES uOttawa (Kendall); Ottawa Hospital Research Institute (Cooper), Ottawa, Ont.; Ontario Health (Cancer Care Ontario) (Cotterchio), Toronto, Ont.; British Columbia Centre for Excellence in HIV/AIDS (Salters), Vancouver, BC; Department of Pathology and Molecular Medicine (Smieja), McMaster University, Hamilton, Ont.; Ontario HIV Treatment Network (Kroch), Toronto, Ont.; Canadian HIV/AIDS and Chronic Pain Society (Price), Ottawa, Ont.
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Claire E. Kendall
Dalla Lana School of Public Health (Nicolau, Brooks, Cotterchio, Kroch), University of Toronto; Li Ka Shing Knowledge Institute (Nicolau, Antoniou, Lindsay, Mohamed, Burchell), St. Michael’s Hospital, Unity Health Toronto; Department of Family and Community Medicine (Moineddin, Antoniou, Burchell), University of Toronto; ICES Central (Moineddin, Antoniou, Burchell); Canadian Cancer Society (Gillis), Toronto, Ont.; Bruyère Research Institute (Kendall); Department of Family Medicine (Kendall), University of Ottawa; Institut du Savoir Montfort (Kendall); Clinical Epidemiology Program (Kendall), Ottawa Hospital Research Institute; ICES uOttawa (Kendall); Ottawa Hospital Research Institute (Cooper), Ottawa, Ont.; Ontario Health (Cancer Care Ontario) (Cotterchio), Toronto, Ont.; British Columbia Centre for Excellence in HIV/AIDS (Salters), Vancouver, BC; Department of Pathology and Molecular Medicine (Smieja), McMaster University, Hamilton, Ont.; Ontario HIV Treatment Network (Kroch), Toronto, Ont.; Canadian HIV/AIDS and Chronic Pain Society (Price), Ottawa, Ont.
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Curtis Cooper
Dalla Lana School of Public Health (Nicolau, Brooks, Cotterchio, Kroch), University of Toronto; Li Ka Shing Knowledge Institute (Nicolau, Antoniou, Lindsay, Mohamed, Burchell), St. Michael’s Hospital, Unity Health Toronto; Department of Family and Community Medicine (Moineddin, Antoniou, Burchell), University of Toronto; ICES Central (Moineddin, Antoniou, Burchell); Canadian Cancer Society (Gillis), Toronto, Ont.; Bruyère Research Institute (Kendall); Department of Family Medicine (Kendall), University of Ottawa; Institut du Savoir Montfort (Kendall); Clinical Epidemiology Program (Kendall), Ottawa Hospital Research Institute; ICES uOttawa (Kendall); Ottawa Hospital Research Institute (Cooper), Ottawa, Ont.; Ontario Health (Cancer Care Ontario) (Cotterchio), Toronto, Ont.; British Columbia Centre for Excellence in HIV/AIDS (Salters), Vancouver, BC; Department of Pathology and Molecular Medicine (Smieja), McMaster University, Hamilton, Ont.; Ontario HIV Treatment Network (Kroch), Toronto, Ont.; Canadian HIV/AIDS and Chronic Pain Society (Price), Ottawa, Ont.
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Michelle Cotterchio
Dalla Lana School of Public Health (Nicolau, Brooks, Cotterchio, Kroch), University of Toronto; Li Ka Shing Knowledge Institute (Nicolau, Antoniou, Lindsay, Mohamed, Burchell), St. Michael’s Hospital, Unity Health Toronto; Department of Family and Community Medicine (Moineddin, Antoniou, Burchell), University of Toronto; ICES Central (Moineddin, Antoniou, Burchell); Canadian Cancer Society (Gillis), Toronto, Ont.; Bruyère Research Institute (Kendall); Department of Family Medicine (Kendall), University of Ottawa; Institut du Savoir Montfort (Kendall); Clinical Epidemiology Program (Kendall), Ottawa Hospital Research Institute; ICES uOttawa (Kendall); Ottawa Hospital Research Institute (Cooper), Ottawa, Ont.; Ontario Health (Cancer Care Ontario) (Cotterchio), Toronto, Ont.; British Columbia Centre for Excellence in HIV/AIDS (Salters), Vancouver, BC; Department of Pathology and Molecular Medicine (Smieja), McMaster University, Hamilton, Ont.; Ontario HIV Treatment Network (Kroch), Toronto, Ont.; Canadian HIV/AIDS and Chronic Pain Society (Price), Ottawa, Ont.
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Kate Salters
Dalla Lana School of Public Health (Nicolau, Brooks, Cotterchio, Kroch), University of Toronto; Li Ka Shing Knowledge Institute (Nicolau, Antoniou, Lindsay, Mohamed, Burchell), St. Michael’s Hospital, Unity Health Toronto; Department of Family and Community Medicine (Moineddin, Antoniou, Burchell), University of Toronto; ICES Central (Moineddin, Antoniou, Burchell); Canadian Cancer Society (Gillis), Toronto, Ont.; Bruyère Research Institute (Kendall); Department of Family Medicine (Kendall), University of Ottawa; Institut du Savoir Montfort (Kendall); Clinical Epidemiology Program (Kendall), Ottawa Hospital Research Institute; ICES uOttawa (Kendall); Ottawa Hospital Research Institute (Cooper), Ottawa, Ont.; Ontario Health (Cancer Care Ontario) (Cotterchio), Toronto, Ont.; British Columbia Centre for Excellence in HIV/AIDS (Salters), Vancouver, BC; Department of Pathology and Molecular Medicine (Smieja), McMaster University, Hamilton, Ont.; Ontario HIV Treatment Network (Kroch), Toronto, Ont.; Canadian HIV/AIDS and Chronic Pain Society (Price), Ottawa, Ont.
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Marek Smieja
Dalla Lana School of Public Health (Nicolau, Brooks, Cotterchio, Kroch), University of Toronto; Li Ka Shing Knowledge Institute (Nicolau, Antoniou, Lindsay, Mohamed, Burchell), St. Michael’s Hospital, Unity Health Toronto; Department of Family and Community Medicine (Moineddin, Antoniou, Burchell), University of Toronto; ICES Central (Moineddin, Antoniou, Burchell); Canadian Cancer Society (Gillis), Toronto, Ont.; Bruyère Research Institute (Kendall); Department of Family Medicine (Kendall), University of Ottawa; Institut du Savoir Montfort (Kendall); Clinical Epidemiology Program (Kendall), Ottawa Hospital Research Institute; ICES uOttawa (Kendall); Ottawa Hospital Research Institute (Cooper), Ottawa, Ont.; Ontario Health (Cancer Care Ontario) (Cotterchio), Toronto, Ont.; British Columbia Centre for Excellence in HIV/AIDS (Salters), Vancouver, BC; Department of Pathology and Molecular Medicine (Smieja), McMaster University, Hamilton, Ont.; Ontario HIV Treatment Network (Kroch), Toronto, Ont.; Canadian HIV/AIDS and Chronic Pain Society (Price), Ottawa, Ont.
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Abigail E. Kroch
Dalla Lana School of Public Health (Nicolau, Brooks, Cotterchio, Kroch), University of Toronto; Li Ka Shing Knowledge Institute (Nicolau, Antoniou, Lindsay, Mohamed, Burchell), St. Michael’s Hospital, Unity Health Toronto; Department of Family and Community Medicine (Moineddin, Antoniou, Burchell), University of Toronto; ICES Central (Moineddin, Antoniou, Burchell); Canadian Cancer Society (Gillis), Toronto, Ont.; Bruyère Research Institute (Kendall); Department of Family Medicine (Kendall), University of Ottawa; Institut du Savoir Montfort (Kendall); Clinical Epidemiology Program (Kendall), Ottawa Hospital Research Institute; ICES uOttawa (Kendall); Ottawa Hospital Research Institute (Cooper), Ottawa, Ont.; Ontario Health (Cancer Care Ontario) (Cotterchio), Toronto, Ont.; British Columbia Centre for Excellence in HIV/AIDS (Salters), Vancouver, BC; Department of Pathology and Molecular Medicine (Smieja), McMaster University, Hamilton, Ont.; Ontario HIV Treatment Network (Kroch), Toronto, Ont.; Canadian HIV/AIDS and Chronic Pain Society (Price), Ottawa, Ont.
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Joanne D. Lindsay
Dalla Lana School of Public Health (Nicolau, Brooks, Cotterchio, Kroch), University of Toronto; Li Ka Shing Knowledge Institute (Nicolau, Antoniou, Lindsay, Mohamed, Burchell), St. Michael’s Hospital, Unity Health Toronto; Department of Family and Community Medicine (Moineddin, Antoniou, Burchell), University of Toronto; ICES Central (Moineddin, Antoniou, Burchell); Canadian Cancer Society (Gillis), Toronto, Ont.; Bruyère Research Institute (Kendall); Department of Family Medicine (Kendall), University of Ottawa; Institut du Savoir Montfort (Kendall); Clinical Epidemiology Program (Kendall), Ottawa Hospital Research Institute; ICES uOttawa (Kendall); Ottawa Hospital Research Institute (Cooper), Ottawa, Ont.; Ontario Health (Cancer Care Ontario) (Cotterchio), Toronto, Ont.; British Columbia Centre for Excellence in HIV/AIDS (Salters), Vancouver, BC; Department of Pathology and Molecular Medicine (Smieja), McMaster University, Hamilton, Ont.; Ontario HIV Treatment Network (Kroch), Toronto, Ont.; Canadian HIV/AIDS and Chronic Pain Society (Price), Ottawa, Ont.
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Colleen Price
Dalla Lana School of Public Health (Nicolau, Brooks, Cotterchio, Kroch), University of Toronto; Li Ka Shing Knowledge Institute (Nicolau, Antoniou, Lindsay, Mohamed, Burchell), St. Michael’s Hospital, Unity Health Toronto; Department of Family and Community Medicine (Moineddin, Antoniou, Burchell), University of Toronto; ICES Central (Moineddin, Antoniou, Burchell); Canadian Cancer Society (Gillis), Toronto, Ont.; Bruyère Research Institute (Kendall); Department of Family Medicine (Kendall), University of Ottawa; Institut du Savoir Montfort (Kendall); Clinical Epidemiology Program (Kendall), Ottawa Hospital Research Institute; ICES uOttawa (Kendall); Ottawa Hospital Research Institute (Cooper), Ottawa, Ont.; Ontario Health (Cancer Care Ontario) (Cotterchio), Toronto, Ont.; British Columbia Centre for Excellence in HIV/AIDS (Salters), Vancouver, BC; Department of Pathology and Molecular Medicine (Smieja), McMaster University, Hamilton, Ont.; Ontario HIV Treatment Network (Kroch), Toronto, Ont.; Canadian HIV/AIDS and Chronic Pain Society (Price), Ottawa, Ont.
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Anthony Mohamed
Dalla Lana School of Public Health (Nicolau, Brooks, Cotterchio, Kroch), University of Toronto; Li Ka Shing Knowledge Institute (Nicolau, Antoniou, Lindsay, Mohamed, Burchell), St. Michael’s Hospital, Unity Health Toronto; Department of Family and Community Medicine (Moineddin, Antoniou, Burchell), University of Toronto; ICES Central (Moineddin, Antoniou, Burchell); Canadian Cancer Society (Gillis), Toronto, Ont.; Bruyère Research Institute (Kendall); Department of Family Medicine (Kendall), University of Ottawa; Institut du Savoir Montfort (Kendall); Clinical Epidemiology Program (Kendall), Ottawa Hospital Research Institute; ICES uOttawa (Kendall); Ottawa Hospital Research Institute (Cooper), Ottawa, Ont.; Ontario Health (Cancer Care Ontario) (Cotterchio), Toronto, Ont.; British Columbia Centre for Excellence in HIV/AIDS (Salters), Vancouver, BC; Department of Pathology and Molecular Medicine (Smieja), McMaster University, Hamilton, Ont.; Ontario HIV Treatment Network (Kroch), Toronto, Ont.; Canadian HIV/AIDS and Chronic Pain Society (Price), Ottawa, Ont.
MES
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Ann N. Burchell
Dalla Lana School of Public Health (Nicolau, Brooks, Cotterchio, Kroch), University of Toronto; Li Ka Shing Knowledge Institute (Nicolau, Antoniou, Lindsay, Mohamed, Burchell), St. Michael’s Hospital, Unity Health Toronto; Department of Family and Community Medicine (Moineddin, Antoniou, Burchell), University of Toronto; ICES Central (Moineddin, Antoniou, Burchell); Canadian Cancer Society (Gillis), Toronto, Ont.; Bruyère Research Institute (Kendall); Department of Family Medicine (Kendall), University of Ottawa; Institut du Savoir Montfort (Kendall); Clinical Epidemiology Program (Kendall), Ottawa Hospital Research Institute; ICES uOttawa (Kendall); Ottawa Hospital Research Institute (Cooper), Ottawa, Ont.; Ontario Health (Cancer Care Ontario) (Cotterchio), Toronto, Ont.; British Columbia Centre for Excellence in HIV/AIDS (Salters), Vancouver, BC; Department of Pathology and Molecular Medicine (Smieja), McMaster University, Hamilton, Ont.; Ontario HIV Treatment Network (Kroch), Toronto, Ont.; Canadian HIV/AIDS and Chronic Pain Society (Price), Ottawa, Ont.
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  • Figure 1:
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    Figure 1:

    Flow chart showing participant selection. *Matched on birth year (within 1 yr), sex, census division (rurality), neighbourhood income quintile and region of birth (Canadian born or immigrated to Canada before 1986, born outside Canada in a country with low HIV infection prevalence, or born outside Canada in a region with high HIV infection prevalence).

  • Figure 2:
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    Figure 2:

    Cumulative incidence of infection-related cancer and infection-unrelated cancer among people with (A, C) and without (B, D) HIV infection, by calendar period and age.

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    Figure 3:

    Cause-specific hazard ratios (HRs) of infection-unrelated and infection-related cancer for people with and without HIV infection, by age group. Associated 95% confidence intervals (CIs) are represented by whiskers. Red line represents null value of HR = 1.

Tables

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    Table 1:

    Characteristics of people from Ontario, Canada, with and without HIV infection at cohort entry, 1996–2020

    CharacteristicNo. (%) of people*Standardized difference†
    With HIV infection
    n = 20 304
    Without HIV infection
    n = 20 304
    Age, median (IQR), yr‡37 (30–45)37 (30–45)0
    Age category‡
     18–294878 (24.0)4875 (24.0)0
     30–397372 (36.3)7338 (36.1)0
     40–494937 (24.3)4959 (24.4)0
     50–592079 (10.2)2094 (10.3)0
     60–69660 (3.2)672 (3.3)0
     70–79243 (1.2)230 (1.1)0.01
     ≥ 80135 (0.7)136 (0.7)0
    Sex‡
     Female4396 (21.6)4396 (21.6)0
     Male15 908 (78.3)15 908 (78.3)0
    Period of cohort entry‡
     1996–19993532 (17.4)3534 (17.4)0
     2000–20033071 (15.1)3074 (15.1)0
     2004–20073314 (16.3)3305 (16.3)0
     2008–20113305 (16.3)3305 (16.3)0
     2012–20153330 (16.4)3338 (16.4)0
     2016–20203752 (18.5)3748 (18.5)0
    Neighbourhood income quintile‡
     1 (lowest)6872 (33.8)6872 (33.8)0
     24486 (22.1)4486 (22.1)0
     33372 (16.6)3372 (16.6)0
     42789 (13.7)2789 (13.7)0
     5 (highest)2785 (13.7)2785 (13.7)0
    Rurality‡
     Urban19 550 (96.3)19 420 (95.6)0.03
     Rural754 (3.7)884 (4.4)0.03
    Comorbidity burden§
     No comorbid conditions0 (0.0)2405 (11.8)0.52
     Low7902 (38.9)10 191 (50.2)0.23
     Moderate4013 (19.8)1109 (5.5)0.44
     High8389 (41.3)6599 (32.5)0.18
    Resource Utilization Band¶
     0 (lowest expected resource use)**1–52399–24030.52
     1**1–51581–15850.41
     216 (0.1)4356 (21.4)0.73
     311 273 (55.5)9548 (47.0)0.17
     46025 (29.7)2027 (10.0)0.51
     5 (highest expected resource use)2985 (14.7)388 (1.9)0.48
    Immigration status duration††
     Long-term resident15 273 (75.2)15 273 (75.2)0
     Long-term immigrant1337 (6.6)2413 (11.9)0.18
     Recent immigrant to Canada2471 (12.2)2475 (12.2)0
     Immigrated after index date‡‡1223 (6.0)143 (0.7)0.30
    Region of birth‡
     Canada15 273 (75.2)15 273 (75.2)0
     Outside Canada in country with low HIV infection prevalence2738 (13.5)2738 (13.5)0
     Outside Canada in country with high HIV infection prevalence§§2293 (11.3)2293 (11.3)0
    • Note: IQR = interquartile range.

    • ↵* Except where noted otherwise.

    • ↵† A value greater than 0.1 was considered a meaningful difference.

    • ↵‡ Matched on sex, birth year, year of cohort entry, census division (rurality), region of birth and neighbourhood income quintile.

    • ↵§ Based on the type of illness in the 2 years preceding cohort entry, assessed with the Johns Hopkins Adjusted Clinical Group (ACG) system collapsed Aggregated Diagnosis Groups (ADGs). HIV infection is included as a comorbidity in the ADG algorithm.

    • ↵¶ Expected use of health care resources was assessed with the Johns Hopkins ACG Resource Utilization Bands based on 6 categories, with 0 being no use and 5 being the highest expected use. Resources include those used owing to HIV infection.

    • ↵** Range is shown to suppress a small cell count.

    • ↵†† Categorized as long-term resident if Canadian born or immigrated before 1986, long-term immigrant if residing in Canada for 10 or more years, and recent immigrant to Canada if residing in Canada for less than 10 years.

    • ↵‡‡ Date of entry into the study, defined as the earliest record of an HIV-related diagnostic code for people with HIV infection and used in the matching process as the same date (within 1 yr) for people without HIV infection.

    • ↵§§ Regions of Africa and the Caribbean were considered regions with high HIV infection prevalence.

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    Table 2:

    Distribution of incident first primary cancers diagnosed among people with and without HIV infection

    Cancer groupNo. (%) of people*Standardized difference
    With HIV infectionWithout HIV infectionTotsal
    All cancers1534 (100.0)903 (100.0)2437 (100.0)–
    Infection-unrelated cancer696 (45.4)784 (86.8)1480 (60.7)0.97
    Infection-related cancer838 (54.6)119 (13.2)957 (39.3)0.97
     ADC559 (36.4)45 (5.0)604 (24.8)0.84
     Non-Hodgkin lymphoma305 (19.9)37 (4.1)342 (14.0)0.50
     Kaposi sarcoma†235–241< 6241 (9.9)0.58
     Cervix†15–21< 621 (0.9)0.08
     Infection-related NADC279 (18.2)74 (8.2)353 (14.5)0.30
     Most common site-specific NADCs among people with HIV infection
      Prostate116 (7.6)186 (20.6)302 (12.4)0.38
      Lung121 (7.9)98 (10.8)219 (9.0)0.10
      Colorectal80 (5.2)106 (11.7)186 (7.6)0.24
      Anal†106–112 (6.9–7.3)< 6112 (4.6)0.36
      Liver49 (3.2)19 (2.1)68 (2.8)0.07
    • Note: ADC = AIDS-defining cancer, NADC = non–AIDS defining cancer.

    • ↵* Column proportions do not sum to 100% as cancers could be in more than 1 category.

    • ↵† Ranges are shown to suppress small cell counts to prevent the risk of disclosure; cells with fewer than 5 cases were suppressed.

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    Table 3:

    Cumulative risk of being diagnosed with an infection-related cancer by age 65 years for people with and without HIV infection, by calendar period

    VariableCumulative risk, % (95% CI)
    People with HIV infection; periodPeople without HIV infection; period
    1996–20032004–20112012–20201996–20032004–20112012–2020
    Cancer group
    All cancers25.3 (21.6–29.1)25.6 (22.5–28.8)18.3 (16.1–20.5)11.0 (5.9–10.1)14.2 (9.3–9.3)13.9 (12.5–15.2)
    Infection-unrelated cancer7.0 (4.8–9.3)9.4 (7.4–11.4)8.7 (7.6–9.7)10.8 (5.7–15.9)12.4 (10.2–14.6)11.8 (10.5–13.1)
    Infection-related cancer19.0 (15.6–22.3)17.0 (14.1–19.9)10.0 (7.9–12.1)0.2 (0.0–0.4)2.0 (0.9–2.9)2.2 (1.6–2.8)
     ADC14.8 (11.9–17.7)12.0 (9.2–14.8)6.0 (4.0–8.1)0.2 (0.0–0.4)0.5 (0.01–1.1)0.8 (0.5–1.2)
     Infection-related NADC5.1 (2.7–7.5)5.8 (4.3–7.2)4.2 (3.4–5.0)0.01.4 (0.5–2.2)1.4 (0.9–1.8)
     Most common site-specific NADCs among people with HIV infection
      Prostate*1.7 (0.3–3.1)1.2 (0.5–2.0)2.1 (1.5–2.8)5.9 (1.2–10.6)5.5 (3.6–7.3)3.4 (2.6–4.2)
      Lung0.9 (0.2–1.6)2.6 (1.6–3.6)1.5 (1.0–1.9)1.7 (0.0–3.6)1.0 (0.3–1.7)1.4 (0.9–1.9)
      Colorectal1.3 (0.4–2.3)0.9 (0.3–1.6)1.0 (0.7–1.4)2.0 (0.0–4.0)1.3 (0.5–2.1)1.4 (1.0–1.8)
      Anal1.9 (0.6–3.1)1.3 (0.7–2.0)1.8 (1.3–2.3)0.00.03 (0.0–0.1)0.02 (0.0–0.1)
      Liver1.1 (0.0–2.3)0.7 (0.3–1.2)0.6 (0.3–0.9)0.00.4 (0.0–0.9)0.3 (0.1–0.5)
    Sex
    Female
     Infection-unrelated cancer6.6 (2.4–10.8)11.4 (7.1–15.7)10.2 (7.7–12.6)4.4 (0.8–8.1)8.4 (4.5–12.3)13.2 (10.4–16.0)
     Infection-related cancer9.7 (4.9–14.4)8.9 (5.5–12.3)6.4 (4.3–8.5)0.5 (0.0–1.5)1.7 (0.0–4.1)0.9 (0.3–1.6)
    Male
     Infection-unrelated cancer7.4 (4.7–10.1)9.4 (6.4–12.4)8.3 (7.1–9.4)12.2 (6.0–18.4)13.0 (10.5–15.5)11.4 (10.0–12.8)
     Infection-related cancer20.2 (16.3–24.0)18.2 (14.2–22.3)10.7 (8.0–13.3)0.1 (0.0–0.3)1.9 (0.7–3.1)2.2 (1.6–2.9)
    • Note: ADC = AIDS-defining cancer, CI = confidence interval, NADC = non–AIDS defining cancer.

    • ↵* Restricted to males.

    • View popup
    Table 4:

    Cause-specific hazard ratios for infection-related and infection-unrelated cancers comparing people with and without HIV infection, by age group and sex*

    Outcome; sexAge, yr; HR (95% CI)
    18–3940–4950–5960–69≥ 70
    Both sexes combined
    Death6.9 (5.0–9.5)4.1 (3.3–5.0)3.0 (2.4–3.6)2.1 (1.7–2.7)1.4 (1.1–1.7)
    Infection-related cancer25.1 (13.2–47.7)15.1 (9.6–23.7)6.8 (4.7–9.9)3.1 (2.0–4.9)1.9 (1.0–3.7)
    Infection-unrelated cancer1.3 (0.9–1.9)1.0 (0.8–1.3)1.0 (0.8–1.2)0.7 (0.6–0.9)1.3 (1.0–1.6)
    Females
    Death11.6 (5.7–23.8)15.9 (7.9–32.3)9.3 (4.7–18.5)2.8 (1.6–5.2)1.7 (1.2–2.4)
    Infection-related cancer22.2 (5.7–87.5)6.4 (2.4–17.2)35.6 (4.9–259.5)4.5 (1.2–16.9)3.7 (0.9–16.1)
    Infection-unrelated cancer1.1 (0.6–2.0)1.0 (0.6–1.5)1.5 (1.0–2.4)1.3 (0.8–2.1)1.9 (1.0–3.4)
    Males
    Death5.6 (3.9–8.1)3.1 (2.5–3.9)2.5 (2.0–3.0)2.0 (1.5–2.6)1.2 (0.9–1.5)
    Infection-related cancer25.7 (12.2–54.0)18.3 (10.8–31.1)5.7 (3.9–8.4)2.9 (1.9–4.6)1.6 (0.8–3.2)
    Infection-unrelated cancer1.5 (0.9–2.4)1.0 (0.8–1.4)0.9 (0.8–1.2)0.7 (0.5–0.8)1.1 (0.8–1.6)
    • Note: CI = confidence interval, HR = hazard ratio.

    • ↵* Models were adjusted for calendar period, comorbidity, expected use of health care resources and immigration status, and included attained age at follow-up (categoric) and HIV status interaction term.

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CMAJ Open: 11 (5)
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Trends in infection-related and infection-unrelated cancer incidence among people with and without HIV infection in Ontario, Canada, 1996–2020: a population-based matched cohort study using health administrative data
Ioana A. Nicolau, Rahim Moineddin, Tony Antoniou, Jennifer D. Brooks, Jennifer L. Gillis, Claire E. Kendall, Curtis Cooper, Michelle Cotterchio, Kate Salters, Marek Smieja, Abigail E. Kroch, Joanne D. Lindsay, Colleen Price, Anthony Mohamed, Ann N. Burchell
Sep 2023, 11 (5) E894-E905; DOI: 10.9778/cmajo.20220230

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Trends in infection-related and infection-unrelated cancer incidence among people with and without HIV infection in Ontario, Canada, 1996–2020: a population-based matched cohort study using health administrative data
Ioana A. Nicolau, Rahim Moineddin, Tony Antoniou, Jennifer D. Brooks, Jennifer L. Gillis, Claire E. Kendall, Curtis Cooper, Michelle Cotterchio, Kate Salters, Marek Smieja, Abigail E. Kroch, Joanne D. Lindsay, Colleen Price, Anthony Mohamed, Ann N. Burchell
Sep 2023, 11 (5) E894-E905; DOI: 10.9778/cmajo.20220230
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