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Continuity of physician care over the last year of life for different cause-of-death categories: a retrospective population-based study

Michelle Howard, Abe Hafid, Colleen Webber, Sarina R. Isenberg, Ana Gayowsky, Aaron Jones, Mary Scott, Amy T. Hsu, Katrin Conen, James Downar, Doug Manuel and Peter Tanuseputro
November 08, 2022 10 (4) E971-E980; DOI: https://doi.org/10.9778/cmajo.20210294
Michelle Howard
Departments of Family Medicine (Howard, Hafid), Medicine (Conen), and Health Research Methods, Evidence and Impact (Jones), McMaster University; ICES McMaster (Gayowsky); Hamilton, Ont.; Ottawa Hospital Research Institute (Webber, Scott, Hsu, Manuel, Tanuseputro); Bruyère Research Institute (Webber, Isenberg, Scott, Hsu, Manuel, Tanuseputro); Division of Palliative Care (Downar), and Departments of Medicine (Isenberg) and Family Medicine (Manuel), University of Ottawa; ICES uOttawa (Manuel, Tanuseputro), Ottawa, Ont.
MSc PhD
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Abe Hafid
Departments of Family Medicine (Howard, Hafid), Medicine (Conen), and Health Research Methods, Evidence and Impact (Jones), McMaster University; ICES McMaster (Gayowsky); Hamilton, Ont.; Ottawa Hospital Research Institute (Webber, Scott, Hsu, Manuel, Tanuseputro); Bruyère Research Institute (Webber, Isenberg, Scott, Hsu, Manuel, Tanuseputro); Division of Palliative Care (Downar), and Departments of Medicine (Isenberg) and Family Medicine (Manuel), University of Ottawa; ICES uOttawa (Manuel, Tanuseputro), Ottawa, Ont.
MPH
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Colleen Webber
Departments of Family Medicine (Howard, Hafid), Medicine (Conen), and Health Research Methods, Evidence and Impact (Jones), McMaster University; ICES McMaster (Gayowsky); Hamilton, Ont.; Ottawa Hospital Research Institute (Webber, Scott, Hsu, Manuel, Tanuseputro); Bruyère Research Institute (Webber, Isenberg, Scott, Hsu, Manuel, Tanuseputro); Division of Palliative Care (Downar), and Departments of Medicine (Isenberg) and Family Medicine (Manuel), University of Ottawa; ICES uOttawa (Manuel, Tanuseputro), Ottawa, Ont.
PhD
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Sarina R. Isenberg
Departments of Family Medicine (Howard, Hafid), Medicine (Conen), and Health Research Methods, Evidence and Impact (Jones), McMaster University; ICES McMaster (Gayowsky); Hamilton, Ont.; Ottawa Hospital Research Institute (Webber, Scott, Hsu, Manuel, Tanuseputro); Bruyère Research Institute (Webber, Isenberg, Scott, Hsu, Manuel, Tanuseputro); Division of Palliative Care (Downar), and Departments of Medicine (Isenberg) and Family Medicine (Manuel), University of Ottawa; ICES uOttawa (Manuel, Tanuseputro), Ottawa, Ont.
MA PhD
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Ana Gayowsky
Departments of Family Medicine (Howard, Hafid), Medicine (Conen), and Health Research Methods, Evidence and Impact (Jones), McMaster University; ICES McMaster (Gayowsky); Hamilton, Ont.; Ottawa Hospital Research Institute (Webber, Scott, Hsu, Manuel, Tanuseputro); Bruyère Research Institute (Webber, Isenberg, Scott, Hsu, Manuel, Tanuseputro); Division of Palliative Care (Downar), and Departments of Medicine (Isenberg) and Family Medicine (Manuel), University of Ottawa; ICES uOttawa (Manuel, Tanuseputro), Ottawa, Ont.
MSc
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Aaron Jones
Departments of Family Medicine (Howard, Hafid), Medicine (Conen), and Health Research Methods, Evidence and Impact (Jones), McMaster University; ICES McMaster (Gayowsky); Hamilton, Ont.; Ottawa Hospital Research Institute (Webber, Scott, Hsu, Manuel, Tanuseputro); Bruyère Research Institute (Webber, Isenberg, Scott, Hsu, Manuel, Tanuseputro); Division of Palliative Care (Downar), and Departments of Medicine (Isenberg) and Family Medicine (Manuel), University of Ottawa; ICES uOttawa (Manuel, Tanuseputro), Ottawa, Ont.
MSc PhD
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Mary Scott
Departments of Family Medicine (Howard, Hafid), Medicine (Conen), and Health Research Methods, Evidence and Impact (Jones), McMaster University; ICES McMaster (Gayowsky); Hamilton, Ont.; Ottawa Hospital Research Institute (Webber, Scott, Hsu, Manuel, Tanuseputro); Bruyère Research Institute (Webber, Isenberg, Scott, Hsu, Manuel, Tanuseputro); Division of Palliative Care (Downar), and Departments of Medicine (Isenberg) and Family Medicine (Manuel), University of Ottawa; ICES uOttawa (Manuel, Tanuseputro), Ottawa, Ont.
BA
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Amy T. Hsu
Departments of Family Medicine (Howard, Hafid), Medicine (Conen), and Health Research Methods, Evidence and Impact (Jones), McMaster University; ICES McMaster (Gayowsky); Hamilton, Ont.; Ottawa Hospital Research Institute (Webber, Scott, Hsu, Manuel, Tanuseputro); Bruyère Research Institute (Webber, Isenberg, Scott, Hsu, Manuel, Tanuseputro); Division of Palliative Care (Downar), and Departments of Medicine (Isenberg) and Family Medicine (Manuel), University of Ottawa; ICES uOttawa (Manuel, Tanuseputro), Ottawa, Ont.
PhD
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Katrin Conen
Departments of Family Medicine (Howard, Hafid), Medicine (Conen), and Health Research Methods, Evidence and Impact (Jones), McMaster University; ICES McMaster (Gayowsky); Hamilton, Ont.; Ottawa Hospital Research Institute (Webber, Scott, Hsu, Manuel, Tanuseputro); Bruyère Research Institute (Webber, Isenberg, Scott, Hsu, Manuel, Tanuseputro); Division of Palliative Care (Downar), and Departments of Medicine (Isenberg) and Family Medicine (Manuel), University of Ottawa; ICES uOttawa (Manuel, Tanuseputro), Ottawa, Ont.
MD
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James Downar
Departments of Family Medicine (Howard, Hafid), Medicine (Conen), and Health Research Methods, Evidence and Impact (Jones), McMaster University; ICES McMaster (Gayowsky); Hamilton, Ont.; Ottawa Hospital Research Institute (Webber, Scott, Hsu, Manuel, Tanuseputro); Bruyère Research Institute (Webber, Isenberg, Scott, Hsu, Manuel, Tanuseputro); Division of Palliative Care (Downar), and Departments of Medicine (Isenberg) and Family Medicine (Manuel), University of Ottawa; ICES uOttawa (Manuel, Tanuseputro), Ottawa, Ont.
MD MHSc
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Doug Manuel
Departments of Family Medicine (Howard, Hafid), Medicine (Conen), and Health Research Methods, Evidence and Impact (Jones), McMaster University; ICES McMaster (Gayowsky); Hamilton, Ont.; Ottawa Hospital Research Institute (Webber, Scott, Hsu, Manuel, Tanuseputro); Bruyère Research Institute (Webber, Isenberg, Scott, Hsu, Manuel, Tanuseputro); Division of Palliative Care (Downar), and Departments of Medicine (Isenberg) and Family Medicine (Manuel), University of Ottawa; ICES uOttawa (Manuel, Tanuseputro), Ottawa, Ont.
MD MSc
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Peter Tanuseputro
Departments of Family Medicine (Howard, Hafid), Medicine (Conen), and Health Research Methods, Evidence and Impact (Jones), McMaster University; ICES McMaster (Gayowsky); Hamilton, Ont.; Ottawa Hospital Research Institute (Webber, Scott, Hsu, Manuel, Tanuseputro); Bruyère Research Institute (Webber, Isenberg, Scott, Hsu, Manuel, Tanuseputro); Division of Palliative Care (Downar), and Departments of Medicine (Isenberg) and Family Medicine (Manuel), University of Ottawa; ICES uOttawa (Manuel, Tanuseputro), Ottawa, Ont.
MHSc MD
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  • Figure 1:
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    Figure 1:

    Flow chart for the creation of the cohort. Note: OHIP = Ontario Health Insurance Plan, ORGD = Ontario Registrar General — Deaths database.

  • Figure 2:
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    Figure 2:

    Distribution of outpatient physician continuity of care in the last 12 months of life among patients who died in Ontario from 2013 to 2018 (n = 417 627).

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    Figure 3:

    Multivariable associations between characteristics of patients who died in Ontario from 2013 to 2018 and higher scores of usual provider continuity of care (≥ 0.50) (n = 416 026). Note: CI = confidence interval, OR = odds ratio, Ref. = reference category.

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    Figure 4:

    Multivariable associations between characteristics of patients who died in Ontario from 2013 to 2018 and higher scores of Bice–Boxerman continuity of care (≥ 0.50) (n = 416 026). Note: CI = confidence interval, OR = odds ratio, Ref. = reference category.

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    Figure 5:

    Multivariable associations between characteristics of patients who died in Ontario from 2013 to 2018 and higher scores of sequential continuity of care (≥ 0.50) (n = 416 026). Note: CI = confidence interval, OR = odds ratio, Ref. = reference category.

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    Table 1:

    Profile of patients aged 19 years or older who died between Jan. 1, 2013, and Dec. 31, 2018, in Ontario (excluding residents in long-term care and patients with less than the 2 outpatient encounters in the last year of life required to calculate continuity-of-care indices)

    Patient characteristicNo. (%)* of total cohort
    n = 417 628
    UPC index, mean ± SDBICE index, mean ± SDSECON index, mean ± SD
    Age at death, yr
     19–4415 135 (3.6)0.34 ± 0.300.30 ± 0.280.37 ± 0.29
     45–5423 472 (5.6)0.33 ± 0.290.30 ± 0.260.36 ± 0.27
     55–6454 568 (13.1)0.33 ± 0.270.28 ± 0.240.34 ± 0.26
     65–7485 907 (20.6)0.33 ± 0.260.26 ± 0.220.33 ± 0.24
     75–84113 939 (27.3)0.37 ± 0.260.29 ± 0.230.35 ± 0.25
     85–94106 471 (25.5)0.42 ± 0.290.35 ± 0.270.41 ± 0.29
     ≥ 9518 136 (4.3)0.48 ± 0.340.44 ± 0.320.51 ± 0.33
     Missing0 (0)
     Mean ± SD74.9 ± 14.7
     Median (IQR)77 (66–86)
    Sex
     Female192 595 (46.1)0.38 ± 0.290.32 ± 0.260.39 ± 0.28
     Male225 033 (53.9)0.37 ± 0.270.29 ± 0.240.35 ± 0.27
     Missing0 (0)
    Rural residence
     Urban361 914 (86.7)0.36 ± 0.280.30 ± 0.250.36 ± 0.27
     Rural54 575 (13.1)0.43 ± 0.290.34 ± 0.270.39 ± 0.29
     Missing1139 (0.3)
    Neighbourhood income quintile
     1 (lowest)103 821 (24.9)0.39 ± 0.290.32 ± 0.260.38 ± 0.28
     292 275 (22.1)0.37 ± 0.280.31 ± 0.250.37 ± 0.27
     380 112 (19.2)0.37 ± 0.280.30 ± 0.250.36 ± 0.27
     470 952 (17.0)0.37 ± 0.280.30 ± 0.250.36 ± 0.27
     5 (highest)68 866 (16.5)0.35 ± 0.280.29 ± 0.240.36 ± 0.27
     Missing1602 (0.4)
    Cause-of-death category
     Terminal illness (e.g., cancer)150 254 (36.0)0.27 ± 0.230.23 ± 0.170.33 ± 0.21
     Organ failure (e.g., CHF, COPD)138 258 (33.1)0.42 ± 0.290.33 ± 0.270.37 ± 0.29
     Frailty (e.g., dementia)82 888 (19.8)0.44 ± 0.310.37 ± 0.290.40 ± 0.31
     Sudden death21 789 (5.2)0.44 ± 0.310.37 ± 0.300.41 ± 0.32
     Other24 439 (5.9)0.40 ± 0.290.32 ± 0.260.37 ± 0.29
     Missing0 (0)
    Illness history†
     Cancer142 754 (34.2)0.29 ± 0.240.25 ± 0.190.31 ± 0.22
     CHF99 307 (23.8)0.40 ± 0.280.31 ± 0.250.36 ± 0.28
     COPD87 507 (21.0)0.40 ± 0.280.32 ± 0.250.37 ± 0.27
     Renal disease63 976 (15.3)0.34 ± 0.260.27 ± 0.220.31 ± 0.25
    Number of prevalent conditions
     Tercile 1 (0–2)155 219 (37.2)0.36 ± 0.29)0.31 ± 0.270.38 ± 0.28
     Tercile 2 (3–4)151 350 (36.2)0.37 ± 0.280.31 ± 0.250.37 ± 0.27
     Tercile 3 (5 or more)111 059 (26.6)0.38 ± 0.270.29 ± 0.230.34 ± 0.26
     Mean ± SD3.36 ± 2.00
     Median (IQR)3 (2–5)
    No. of outpatient physician visits in last year of life
     Quartile 1 (2–7)102 388 (24.5)0.48 ± 0.340.39 ± 0.350.43 ± 0.37
     Quartile 2 (8–14)108 828 (26.1)0.41 ± 0.270.32 ± 0.230.38 ± 0.26
     Quartile 3 (15–23)98 484 (23.6)0.34 ± 0.240.27 ± 0.190.34 ± 0.22
     Quartile 4 (> 23)107 928 (25.8)0.26 ± 0.220.24 ± 0.180.33 ± 0.21
     Mean ± SD17.6 ± 13.7
     Median (IQR)14 (8–24)
    • Note: BICE = Bice–Boxerman continuity of care, CHF = congestive heart failure, COPD = chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, IQR = interquartile range, SD = standard deviation, SECON = sequential continuity, UPC = usual provider continuity.

    • ↵* Unless specified otherwise.

    • ↵† Patient may have had these chronic diseases without dying from them, as captured in the end-of-life trajectory.

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Continuity of physician care over the last year of life for different cause-of-death categories: a retrospective population-based study
Michelle Howard, Abe Hafid, Colleen Webber, Sarina R. Isenberg, Ana Gayowsky, Aaron Jones, Mary Scott, Amy T. Hsu, Katrin Conen, James Downar, Doug Manuel, Peter Tanuseputro
Oct 2022, 10 (4) E971-E980; DOI: 10.9778/cmajo.20210294

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Continuity of physician care over the last year of life for different cause-of-death categories: a retrospective population-based study
Michelle Howard, Abe Hafid, Colleen Webber, Sarina R. Isenberg, Ana Gayowsky, Aaron Jones, Mary Scott, Amy T. Hsu, Katrin Conen, James Downar, Doug Manuel, Peter Tanuseputro
Oct 2022, 10 (4) E971-E980; DOI: 10.9778/cmajo.20210294
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